Ample capital and need for yield to continue driving investment activity in 2022
Following record-highs from 2021, commercial real estate activity has remained elevated in 2022 – led by multifamily, industrial and a strong rebound in retail. Despite widespread supply chain disruptions, inflation and political uncertainty around the war in Ukraine, investors were eager to unlock cash flow and pushed cap rates to record-lows in 4Q21 and 1Q22 across most sectors. Demand for real estate will continue to be strong for high-growth markets.
Strong fundamentals fueled by stable cash flows and pent-up demand
While rents were pressured early in the COVID-19 pandemic as tenants returned space to the market and delayed new leases, the economy came roaring back in 2021 with 18.5M jobs (out of 22.4M lost during the pandemic according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics) - contributing to confidence in the property market and helping to push commercial property values to a 15-year high in the third quarter. 2021 transaction volumes rose 55% over 2020 and were 15% above 2019, led by multifamily, life-science, warehouse and distribution properties.